LOPA typically follows these steps:
1. Select a Scenario from a Hazard Study
Often, scenarios are drawn from a HAZOP (Hazard and Operability Study). Teams choose those with potentially serious outcomes.
2. Define the Initiating Event Frequency
Each initiating event is assigned a frequency based on historical data, industry standards, or expert judgment.
3. Identify Existing IPLs
Evaluate all current safeguards and determine whether they qualify as IPLs.
4. Estimate Risk Reduction
For each IPL, assign a Probability of Failure on Demand (PFD). This indicates how likely the layer is to fail when needed.
5. Calculate Risk
Use the formula:
Risk = Initiating Frequency × PFD of each IPL
Compare the result to your company’s risk tolerance threshold.
6. Decide on Additional Measures
If the risk exceeds acceptable levels, more IPLs may be required. This could involve redesigning processes or installing new safety systems.